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April 2008

April 29, 2008

Hyundai is the New Porsche

Many who favor heavy-handed government approaches to reducing greenhouse gas emissions argue that such efforts are needed because people won't adjust on their own. One recent example of this argument is that we need to have extremely high oil prices or gas taxes to reduce CO2 emissions.

At a recent forum at Town Hall, an energy economist who advocates efforts to reduce carbon emissions was shocked when more than one person in the audience called for $400 per barrel oil. In response to my recent piece about carbon prices, one comment on the Sightline blog entry about the proposal asked "what if the carbon price needs to be $300 or $500 a tonne or more as some economists say?"

First, no economists say $300 or $500 a ton. The gurus of climate doom, Al Gore and Nicholas Stern call for $100 a ton. Most economists call for something much lower than that.

Second, as with so many debates, while government decides what to do, market forces are already at work. A recent report finds that the price of small cars and trucks are climbing because demand for fuel efficient vehicles is increasing. The US News article notes that "Last year U.S. consumers bought a record 2.8 million of them [small cars], and with sales up 4 percent in the first quarter this year, the record almost surely will be shattered." This is more permanent than changes in driving behavior. It is an every-day improvement in fuel efficiency for years to come.

These numbers are more evidence that while some believe only the government can steer us toward energy efficiency, millions of individuals working through the market respond more quickly and effectively.

Upside down transportation planning

In this oped from the Sierra Club in the TNT, Mike O'Brien and Bliss Moore suggest its time for a littleAlice spring cleaning:

The public debate on transportation is now in the “messy” stage. With RTID’s failure at the polls last November, we threw out highway expansion as the answer to our congestion problems.

Note to the Sierra Club: RTID only comprised between 10%-30% of Prop 1....so referring to Prop 1, as RTID is misleading and a veiled attempt to protect Sound Transit. Furthermore, Prop 1 did not fail because of the roads piece. Polling shows that Prop 1 failed because of costs and it didn't relieve congestion.

As long as policy decisions are made on spin and delusional assumptions, voters will continue rejecting packages that don't link spending to congestion relief.

April 28, 2008

Seeing the World Through Pollution Colored Glasses

Us_air_quality_trends_2  I was on KIRO radio yesterday to talk about climate change and the issue of air pollution came up. Phil the News Junkie read a quotation from the American Planning Association saying that as a child the author never saw brown clouds around Mt. Rainier but now sees them regularly.

But the good old days weren't nearly as good as people like to remember them and a quick look at the data show the recollection is likely incorrect. The graph here is from the EPA noting that a composite look at six air quality indicators shows that air pollution has dropped by at least 57 percent in the last 27 years. What's more amazing is that this has occurred at a time when population, energy use, vehicle miles traveled and economic growth were increasing. Technology has made it possible to be prosperous and improve air quality.

Remember also that Seattle's air quality is dramatically better than the national average.

We hear these claims from time to time but they are usually based on anecdotes (like the one above) or using surrogate statistics (E.G. asthma rates are rising, therefore air pollution is increasing) that imply a correlation that is inaccurate. Such claims are usually attempts to justify certain political policies (like spending more on "planning") and have less to do with the actual data.

April 25, 2008

Sound Transit misleading voters, again (update II)

On the matter of Sound Transit rolling back ST1 taxes, Joe Turner raises an interesting question at the TNT's blog:

So, as Sound Transit heads toward another ballot measure, I suppose it's fair to ask "How many defeats does it take to indicate that voter approval is not forthcoming?" Proposition 1's defeat was Strike One. Is this a Three Strikes situation?

Since Sound Transit promoted this language in Sound Move as a taxpayer protection, the clause should be triggered with the first failure. Otherwise, it is nothing more than a hollow statement designed to make Sound Transit appear to care about accountability. Since the Sound Transit board would probably disagree with this claim, then they must respect the will of the voters in approving the roll back of ST1 taxes.

Government Reform 2008: Making Government Work for Taxpayers

Walkerpodium_2On April 15, tax day, state and national policy experts gathered in Seattle for WPC's Government Reform conference. Two interactive panels discussed budget and tax policy reform issues, as well as budget accountability, performance, and the role of government. 

The conference was very well attended including individuals from at least 26 states. It drew a wide variety of attendees including state legislators, agency and legislative staff, business owners, citizens and media.

Former U.S. Comptroller David Walker (pictured left) delivered the lunch keynote address to a packed room. He highlighted the looming fiscal crisis caused by government overspending and entitlement programs and record-low levels of savings amongst citizens.

Here are links to videos of the presentations:

Panel 1: Budget and tax reform - TVW

  • Jonathan Williams - Director of the Tax & Fiscal Policy Task Force for the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC) - Topic: Budget and tax transparency
    Video

Panel 2: Budget accountability/performance and the role of government

  • Larisa Benson - Director of Washington State Government Management Accountability and Performance (GMAP) - Topic: Performance management
    Video
  • Sheila Weinberg - Founder & CEO of Institute for Truth in Accounting - Topic: Requiring accurate budget information
    Video

Keynote Lunch Address - TVW

Additional media coverage of the conference is available here. Details on WPC's Center for Government Reform are available here.

I am borg!!!

The criticism from this guy over at HorsesAss is not based on reality, but then again, neither is Star Trek. Nevertheless, it was too funny not to respond so I'll play along.

Borg_1_2

The armada of Borg Cubes (WPC) rolling into Vancouver.


Borg_2_2


Growing up Borg, of course wasn’t easy. The Federation was always on my case.

Borg_3_2


But meeting my wife changed all that. She revealed the true utopia of Borg and resisted the assimilation.


I AM BORG!!!!!

Sound Transit misleading voters, again (update)

There have been some questions about the quote from Sound Transit on whether they really said they would roll back ST1 taxes if an ST2 failed. So here is a document that includes the quote....its the last paragraph and you may need to click on the image to zoom in.

Interestingly, Sound Transit used virtually the same taxpayer protection clause with Prop 1...saying that if an ST3 ever failed, they would roll back ST2 taxes. Now we know how little they meant it.

Untitled_11
   

Sound Transit misleading voters, again

These (PI, TNT, Times)articles summarize the two proposals Sound Transit is considering for a second attempt at the ballot.

First, as part of ST1, which passed in 1996, Sound Transit said this:

Any second phase capital program which continues local taxes for financing will require voter approval within the RTA District. If voters decide not to extend the system, the RTA will roll back the tax rate to a level sufficient to pay off the outstanding bonds and operate and maintain the investments made as part of Sound Move.

Since voters rejected ST2, Sound Transit must roll back ST1 taxes to O&M levels. If Sound Transit moves forward with another ST2 program that contains ST1 taxes, then Sound Transit is violating the tax payer protection clause voters authorized in 1996.

Secondly, Sound Transit has claimed they would propose an ST2 program that is smaller than the first. Yet, one of the two proposals imposes the exact same sales tax increase as Prop. 1 (.5%). This translates to about $125 per family within the Sound Transit district, which is the same as Sound Transit's first attempt.  Based on their pattern of choosing the most expansive option, Sound Transit is not set to propose a smaller package. Rather, Sound Transit is likely to choose the one that is exactly the same, which of course was rejected by voters.

April 24, 2008

Pork spending: the price of democracy?

Tell taxpayers how their money is being spent on things such as licensing animal massage therapists, decorative lights for the Tacoma Narrows Bridge, and Christmas tree inspections, and they get a little fused.  Don't believe me?  Watch it below.

After reading WPC's Piglet Book on pork spending in the state budget, KXLY News 4 in Spokane (the local ABC affiliate) went out and spoke to random members of the public about some of these projects.  Taxpayers were not happy.  You can read more about it here.

Interestingly, when asked what they would rather have their tax dollars spent on, the people told KXLY "roads."   What a novel idea.  But roads will have to wait, because after all, your pets are in danger of being serviced by unlicensed animal massage therapists and there are more Christmas trees that need inspecting.  Sorry.  As one state lawmaker said when asked about this spending, "that's how democracy functions."

Fashion Has Its Costs

2004365627 Here's a photo from the Seattle Times highlighting Vancouver's new "fashionable hub" of activity on Main Street. I've always heard that fashionable shoes were uncomfortable. Apparently fashionable T-shirts (it says "we started a revolution") will kill you...and several hundred million others.